healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
16.7
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
10.2
Ceiling
24.9
Matchup grade
55
vs MIA defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
74
Receiving yards
21
Receptions
2.5
Targets
3.3
Touchdowns
1.00
Confidence
62%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.9
Target share10%
Red-zone share40%
Game script contextStrong positive script
Model spread BUF -12.0 · ref BUF -4.0
BUF projected ahead by 12.0: the model expects BUF to protect a lead, which supports rush volume and clock-draining carries in the second half.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 0.9 |
| 2nd | 3.7 |
| 3rd | 9.7 |
| 4th | 5.0 |
| Total | 19.3 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
90
Rec yards
28
Rec / targets
3/5
Teammate injury impact
- Brock Quiroz (QB) OUT — usage may shift toward Roman Quiroz.
- Roman Carrington (WR) DOUBTFUL — usage may shift toward Roman Quiroz.