healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
14.4
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
8.7
Ceiling
21.5
Matchup grade
52
vs MIA defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
70
Receiving yards
20
Receptions
2.4
Targets
3.1
Touchdowns
0.70
Confidence
59%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.5
Target share10%
Red-zone share20%
Game script contextStrong positive script
Model spread BUF -12.0 · ref BUF -4.0
BUF projected ahead by 12.0: the model expects BUF to protect a lead, which supports rush volume and clock-draining carries in the second half.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 8.6 |
| 2nd | 6.9 |
| 3rd | 7.2 |
| 4th | 0.9 |
| Total | 23.6 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
69
Rec yards
32
Rec / targets
3/5
Teammate injury impact
- Brock Quiroz (QB) OUT — usage may shift toward Roman Castellan.
- Roman Carrington (WR) DOUBTFUL — usage may shift toward Roman Castellan.