healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
16.8
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
10.4
Ceiling
24.8
Matchup grade
61
vs BAL defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
267
Rushing yards
17
Receiving yards
0
Receptions
0.0
Targets
0.0
Touchdowns
1.10
Confidence
53%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend-0.7
Target share0%
Red-zone share20%
Game script contextNegative script
Model spread BAL -5.0 · ref CIN -8.5
CIN projected behind by 5.0: trailing scripts push pass volume up, raising attempts and yardage ceiling at some cost to efficiency.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 1.8 |
| 2nd | 3.4 |
| 3rd | 2.6 |
| 4th | 2.9 |
| Total | 10.7 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
166
Rush yards
40
Rec yards
0
Rec / targets
0/0
Teammate injury impact
- Rex Ashford (TE) OUT — usage may shift toward Silas Whitfield.
- Rex Grady (K) OUT — usage may shift toward Silas Whitfield.