healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
19.1
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
12.1
Ceiling
27.8
Matchup grade
71
vs BAL defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
87
Receiving yards
28
Receptions
3.4
Targets
4.5
Touchdowns
1.00
Confidence
63%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.6
Target share20%
Red-zone share30%
Game script contextNegative script
Model spread BAL -5.0 · ref CIN -8.5
CIN projected behind by 5.0: trailing scripts cut early-down carries; receiving work becomes the main path to production.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 4.3 |
| 2nd | 4.3 |
| 3rd | 4.9 |
| 4th | 0.8 |
| Total | 14.3 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
75
Rec yards
33
Rec / targets
7/8
Teammate injury impact
- Rex Ashford (TE) OUT — usage may shift toward Nico Carrington.
- Rex Grady (K) OUT — usage may shift toward Nico Carrington.