healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
15.9
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
10.0
Ceiling
23.2
Matchup grade
69
vs BAL defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
84
Receiving yards
24
Receptions
2.9
Targets
3.7
Touchdowns
0.60
Confidence
61%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.4
Target share10%
Red-zone share10%
Game script contextNegative script
Model spread BAL -5.0 · ref CIN -8.5
CIN projected behind by 5.0: trailing scripts cut early-down carries; receiving work becomes the main path to production.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 4.0 |
| 2nd | 3.1 |
| 3rd | 2.9 |
| 4th | 8.7 |
| Total | 18.7 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
84
Rec yards
28
Rec / targets
3/4
Teammate injury impact
- Rex Ashford (TE) OUT — usage may shift toward Kade Jennings.
- Rex Grady (K) OUT — usage may shift toward Kade Jennings.