healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
18.6
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
10.9
Ceiling
28.3
Matchup grade
40
vs KC defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
297
Rushing yards
19
Receiving yards
0
Receptions
0.0
Targets
0.0
Touchdowns
1.20
Confidence
58%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.6
Target share0%
Red-zone share20%
Game script contextNeutral script
Model spread DEN -1.5 · ref DEN -1.0
Model has DEN vs KC inside 2.5 points — usage should track the season baseline with no script-driven skew.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 1.5 |
| 2nd | 5.6 |
| 3rd | 6.6 |
| Total | 13.7 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
123
Rush yards
28
Rec yards
0
Rec / targets
0/0
Teammate injury impact
- Deion Ashford (WR) OUT — usage may shift toward Tariq Thibodeaux.