healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
13.7
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
7.8
Ceiling
21.0
Matchup grade
33
vs KC defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
71
Receiving yards
22
Receptions
2.8
Targets
3.7
Touchdowns
0.50
Confidence
52%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend-0.3
Target share20%
Red-zone share10%
Game script contextNeutral script
Model spread DEN -1.5 · ref DEN -1.0
Model has DEN vs KC inside 2.5 points — usage should track the season baseline with no script-driven skew.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 2.0 |
| 2nd | 3.3 |
| 3rd | 2.4 |
| Total | 7.7 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
51
Rec yards
16
Rec / targets
2/3
Teammate injury impact
- Deion Ashford (WR) OUT — usage may shift toward Quentin Mercado.