healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
15.1
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
8.7
Ceiling
23.0
Matchup grade
37
vs KC defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
76
Receiving yards
24
Receptions
3.0
Targets
3.9
Touchdowns
0.60
Confidence
55%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.2
Target share20%
Red-zone share10%
Game script contextNeutral script
Model spread DEN -1.5 · ref DEN -1.0
Model has DEN vs KC inside 2.5 points — usage should track the season baseline with no script-driven skew.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 1.5 |
| 2nd | 2.9 |
| 3rd | 2.1 |
| Total | 6.5 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
55
Rec yards
5
Rec / targets
1/1
Teammate injury impact
- Deion Ashford (WR) OUT — usage may shift toward Jalen Yarborough.