healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
13.0
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
7.5
Ceiling
19.9
Matchup grade
36
vs KC defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
0
Receiving yards
48
Receptions
4.4
Targets
6.3
Touchdowns
1.00
Confidence
55%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.1
Target share30%
Red-zone share40%
Game script contextNeutral script
Model spread DEN -1.5 · ref DEN -1.0
Model has DEN vs KC inside 2.5 points — usage should track the season baseline with no script-driven skew.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 2.0 |
| 2nd | 3.9 |
| 3rd | 2.9 |
| Total | 8.8 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
0
Rec yards
63
Rec / targets
5/8
Teammate injury impact
- Deion Ashford (WR) OUT — usage may shift toward Tariq Grady.