healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:31 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
17.1
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
9.9
Ceiling
26.1
Matchup grade
36
vs TEN defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
74
Receiving yards
26
Receptions
3.3
Targets
4.4
Touchdowns
0.90
Confidence
56%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.3
Target share30%
Red-zone share30%
Game script contextPositive script
Model spread JAX -5.9 · ref TEN -3.0
JAX projected ahead by 5.9: the model expects JAX to protect a lead, which supports rush volume and clock-draining carries in the second half.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 4.3 |
| 2nd | 8.7 |
| 3rd | 3.0 |
| Total | 16.0 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
100
Rec yards
0
Rec / targets
0/6
Teammate injury impact
- Emory Ellsworth (WR) DOUBTFUL — usage may shift toward Roman Rutherford.