healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:33 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
17.3
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
9.9
Ceiling
26.6
Matchup grade
31
vs BUF defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
261
Rushing yards
17
Receiving yards
0
Receptions
0.0
Targets
0.0
Touchdowns
1.30
Confidence
57%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.6
Target share0%
Red-zone share30%
Game script contextStrong negative script
Model spread BUF -12.0 · ref BUF -4.0
MIA projected behind by 12.0: trailing scripts push pass volume up, raising attempts and yardage ceiling at some cost to efficiency.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 6.5 |
| 2nd | 3.2 |
| 3rd | 5.5 |
| 4th | 6.1 |
| Total | 21.3 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
242
Rush yards
36
Rec yards
0
Rec / targets
0/0