healthy
Projection Sep 6 8:32 PM UTC
Projected fantasy
14.5
Model gsai-1.4.2
Floor
8.7
Ceiling
21.8
Matchup grade
49
vs NE defense
Projected stat line
Model projection — not recorded production
Passing yards
0
Rushing yards
71
Receiving yards
20
Receptions
2.4
Targets
3.1
Touchdowns
0.70
Confidence
58%
Usage profile
Trend and opportunity share
Usage trend+0.3
Target share10%
Red-zone share20%
Game script contextNegative script
Model spread NE -6.0 · ref PK
NYJ projected behind by 6.0: trailing scripts cut early-down carries; receiving work becomes the main path to production.
Model projection derived from the projected margin — not a recorded stat.
Quarter-by-quarter production
Recorded fantasy points by period
| Quarter | Fantasy points |
|---|---|
| 1st | 1.3 |
| 2nd | 4.0 |
| 3rd | 4.7 |
| 4th | 6.7 |
| Total | 16.7 |
Recorded totals & context
Facts from the stored box score
Pass yards
0
Rush yards
96
Rec yards
46
Rec / targets
5/8
Teammate injury impact
- Zane Ellsworth (WR) DOUBTFUL — usage may shift toward Amari Castellan.