Two independent numbers side by side. The reference spread comes from a data provider and is shown for context. The model spread is the GAME SPY projected point differential, recalculated pre-game and at every quarter boundary. The difference between them is where the model sees the game differently.
No licensed reference spread feed is connected. Reference spreads shown are simulated demo values for illustration only.
Reference spreads are informational context supplied by a data provider and are shown only for comparison with the GAME SPY model projection. The model spread is the model's projected point differential — it is not a line, an offer, or a recommendation to wager. GAME SPY AI does not accept or place bets.
Week 5 · 16 games analyzed
68 graded games
18 alerts · 1 major · 9 games flagged · reference 5 · model 13
Model spread moved 4.9 toward CLE from the halftime to the Q3 end recalculation: PIT -0.9 → CLE -4.0 with the score CLE 21 — PIT 15.
Model spread moved 3.1 toward NYJ from the halftime to the Q3 end recalculation: NE -3.2 → NE -0.1 with the score NE 23 — NYJ 22.
Model spread moved 3.0 toward BAL from the Q3 end to the final recalculation: BAL -2.0 → BAL -5.0 with the score BAL 23 — CIN 18.
Model spread moved 5.9 toward NE from the Q3 end to the final recalculation: NE -0.1 → NE -6.0 with the score NE 33 — NYJ 27.
Model spread moved 3.4 toward NYG from the Q1 end to the halftime recalculation: NYG -0.4 → NYG -3.8 with the score DAL 8 — NYG 13.
Model spread moved 3.6 toward JAX from the halftime to the live recalculation: JAX -2.3 → JAX -5.9 with the score JAX 22 — TEN 15.
Model spread moved 4.1 toward CLE from the Q1 end to the halftime recalculation: PIT -5.0 → PIT -0.9 with the score CLE 14 — PIT 11.
Model spread moved 3.5 toward BUF from the Q1 end to the halftime recalculation: BUF -5.8 → BUF -9.3 with the score BUF 19 — MIA 9.
Model spread moved 4.8 toward BAL from the halftime to the Q3 end recalculation: CIN -2.8 → BAL -2.0 with the score BAL 16 — CIN 12.
Reference moved 1.5 toward LAC: LV -3.5 at open → LV -2.0 at close across 2 updates.
Source: Demo Reference Feed (simulated). Reference quotes are informational context and never feed the model.
Model spread moved 7.3 toward BUF from the pre-game to the Q1 end recalculation: MIA -1.5 → BUF -5.8 with the score BUF 10 — MIA 3.
Model spread moved 3.9 toward NE from the pre-game to the Q1 end recalculation: NYJ -3.6 → NE -0.3 with the score NE 7 — NYJ 4.
Model spread moved 3.8 toward JAX from the pre-game to the Q1 end recalculation: TEN -3.4 → JAX -0.4 with the score JAX 9 — TEN 6.
Model spread moved 3.0 toward BAL from the Q1 end to the halftime recalculation: CIN -5.8 → CIN -2.8 with the score BAL 9 — CIN 8.
Reference moved 2.5 toward BUF: BUF -1.5 at open → BUF -4.0 at close across 3 updates.
Source: Demo Reference Feed (simulated). Reference quotes are informational context and never feed the model.
Reference moved 1.5 toward CIN: CIN -7.0 at open → CIN -8.5 at close across 3 updates.
Source: Demo Reference Feed (simulated). Reference quotes are informational context and never feed the model.
Reference moved 1.5 toward GB: MIN -2.5 at open → MIN -1.0 latest across 2 updates.
Source: Demo Reference Feed (simulated). Reference quotes are informational context and never feed the model.
Reference moved 1.5 toward NO: TB -2.0 at open → TB -0.5 latest across 2 updates.
Source: Demo Reference Feed (simulated). Reference quotes are informational context and never feed the model.
Thresholds: reference ≥ 1.5 pts since open · model ≥ 3 pts between recalculations · major = 2× threshold. Informational analytics only — not a signal to wager.
